Political Over/Unders
House odds on future events of geopolitical significance

Mike Rosenberg:

A black president (30 years)
A female president (12 years)
A black, female president (50 years)
A Jewish president (30 years)
A third party president (30 years)
An openly gay president (100 years)
More females than males in the senate (100 years)
Another nation detonating a nuke in war (10 years)
The US detonates a nuclear weapon in war (10 years)
Odds that GW Bush will be riding that nuke like that cowboy in Kubrick's "Dr. Strangelove" (8-1 odds)
The United Nations dissolves (20 years)
Democrats control all branches of government (8.5 years)
Death penalty federally abolished (20 years)
USA pulls more than 90% of troops out of Iraq (2 years)
USA goes to war with Iran (2 years)
USA goes to war with N. Korea (2.5 years)
The embargo with Cuba is lifted (20 years)

Justin Hartfield:

US breaks alliance with Israel (75 years)
The US leaves the United Nations (30 years)
Nuclear power accounts for more than 50% of the US's energy source (75 years)
Possession of Marijuana is legal in any state (25 years)
All drugs become legal in the US (200 years)
Students are forced to cover their entire bodies during recess in school due to global warming and o-zone depletion (40 years)
Social security privatized (25 years)
Gay marriage legal in all 50 states (inc. Texas) (65 years)
DUIs George W. Bush charged with after Presidency (1)
Members of the band Sum 41 the Bush Twins sleep with (1.5)
Elected political offices Al Gore will serve in for the of his career (.5)
Number of books left in the Harry Potter series (7)
Average life-span of an American in the year 2050 (91.5)

M. Harrison:

A nuclear weapon is detonated in the name of Allah (3 years)
America signs free trade agreement with China (80 years)
Kim Jong-Il publically admits to feeling "ronery" by virtue of his country's economic and political isolation (2 years)
France pays outstanding WWII war debt to US (250 years)
The internal-combustion engine is obsolete and no longer offered in new vehicles (40 years)
U.S. will adopt universal health care (30 years)
A new country is admitted to European Union (5 years)
Britain adopts the Euro (7 years)
Andrés Manuel López-Obrador finally concedes defeat in Mexican election, held last July (6 months)
Tornados appear in Los Angeles due to Global Warming, ala The Day After Tomorrow (75 years)
Political opponents "neutralized" by Vladimir Putin in the remainder of his current term and campaign of his hand-picked successor (7)
Number of substantive policy proposals delivered by the campaigns of David Cameron and Ségolène Royal, combined (3)
Number of industries nationalized by Hugo Chavez and Evo Morales, combined, in the remainder of their terms (9)
An atheist is elected President of the United States (40 years)




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